TOP 20

Good week down on the farm. That said, there were a few canceled postponed games, leaving me wanting more. Let’s get to it!

1-Henry Davis-No Stats this week

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
CPX.000/.250/.000.250.000.200160%25%
A.500/.675/.1.0001.750.500.70634925%0%
A+.341/.450/.5851.035.244.4591788%18%
AA.177/.320/.355.675.196.312909.3%18.7%
fang

2-Temarr Johnson-super small sample size alert

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%k%
Week
FCL.111/.238/.167.405.056.2212814.3%28.6%

3-Liover Peguero

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
Week.294/.294/.294.588.000.265600%11.8%
AA.262/.300/.392.692.130.305864.4%21.7%
MLB.333/.500/.333.838.000.39515525%50%

4-Quinn Priester-

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
A30.003.834.740.000%10%
A+2.216.887.522.652.636.7%20%
Week72.574.840.8611.5%23.1%
AA50.12.503.193.781.157.4%25.5%

5-Nick Gonzales-

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBA+wRC+BB%K%
CPX.429/.429/.8571.286.262.5722350%14.3%
A.000/.250/.000.250.000.183925%50%
Week.438/.526/.6251.151.188.50221715.8%26.3%
AA.260/.379/.390.768.130.35111713.1%32.2%

6-Endy Rodriguez

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
A+.302/.392/.544.936.242.41214811.4%20.8%
week.438/.500/.6251.0125.188.49118811.1%16.7%
AA.371/.450/.6571.107.286.47519910%12.5%

7-Matt Fraizer

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
Week.118/.118/.294.412.176.172-10%11.8%
Season.220/.286/.350.637.130.285737.3%23.7%

8-Jared Jones

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
week53.605.471.000%22.7%
season1065.014.994.241.359.4%27.2%

9-Bubba Chandler 

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
CPX150.002.333.090.8516.945.8%
Week40.002.741.007.1%21.4%
A16.24.324.934.601.5616%29.3%
BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
CPX.231/444/.6541.098.423.49018725%16.7%
Weeks.000/.200/.000.200.000.146-1520%46.7%
A.185/.280/.262.264.423.2646112%40%

10-Ji-hwan Bae

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwWRC+BB%K%
week.297/.364/.450.814.153.3621189.5%17.6%
season.300/.367/.465.823.156.3651209.6%18%

11-Michael Burrows

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
AA522.942.733.991.108.9%32.4%
Week50.991.681.005.3%31.6%
AA39.24.313.614.101.266.1%24.2%

12-Travis Swaggerty

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
week(AAA).350/.480/.550.462.200.45718020%24%
AAA.264/.354/.425.778.160.34911012.1%25.9%
MLB.111/.111/.111.222.000.099-420%44.4%

13-Anthony Solometo

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPPBB%K%
Week50.001.890.600%25%
Season34.13.152.673.551.118%25.4%

14-Kyle Nicolas

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
week53.6047.011.6023.8%23.8%
season74.13.874.37 4.721.2811.7%27.3%

15-Luis Ortiz

IPERAFIPxFIPBB%K%
Week63.001.244.3%34.8%
AA109.14.694.553.927.6%26%

MY FIVE

16-Po-Yu Chen

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
WEEK3.24.913.492.1811.1%16.7%
A90.14.683.693.811.258.9%24.9%

17-Dariel Lopez

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
week.133/.278/.133.411.000.2273211.1%16.7%
season.285/.328/.480.808.195.3581155.2%25.3%

18- Hudson Head

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
week.375/.444/.500.944.12542815911.8%22.2%
season.237/.340/.393.733.156.33910310.2%33.5%

19-Connor Scott

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
week.267/.313/.2675.79.333.000635.9%5.9%
season.252/.318/.390.708.139.315938.3%21.%

20-Lonnie White Jr-NO STATS THIS WEEK-

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
Week
CPX.286/.286/.8571.143.571.4921080%42.9%

A Few quick thoughts-

Lookin for some hot stuff-

It’s no exaggeration that the system got off to a relatively slow start, right? I think we can all agree on that, and that doesn’t mean to a man, as there were some guys that were fine. But the system as a whole, well it wasn’t the best case situation. Man, has that changed. I’ve had a lot of red up there the last few weeks and this week is no different. I can honestly say that since I’ve started writing the weekly updates this may be the most positive one I’ve gotten to write about. 10.5 guys on the list had a good week(the .5 is for Bubba Chandler). Good stuff that could leave a good taste in our collective mouths should the fellas keep it up!

Welcome Back-

Ji-hwan Bae is back and he didn’t miss a step. I just don’t know what the hold up is getting Bae to the Burgh? What else does the guy need to do and does he realistically NEED to do it in AAA? I’m not one for conspiracy theories, but could Bae be on the block? It’s all I got at this point that could make sense to him still being in the minors.

And while I’m at it, how is Swaggerty not in the Burgh? Is it really vital for Josh VanMeter or Greg Allen to be getting the extended look they are getting at the expense of Swags and Bae? Sorry to get off point here, but what are we doing with this? Anyway, let’s get back on point.

A duece of Aces?

Watching Solometo and Chandler deal has been a blast, next week the training wheels come off and they both get their own starts. The piggy backing is over, at least for now. While both have shown that they are raw, neither has disappointed in showcasing their stuff. Keep an eye on these kids. The sky is the limit. (Keep in mind that little headline is for fun, we have a long way to go before either is an ace)

I think he gets it…

Mike Burrows keeps getting better. And don’t just look at the AAA year to date stat line look past his 4th start in AAA. His ERA drops to 2.47 and the K rate is a solid 23.9%. While he hasn’t been dominant he’s been really good and I have to think he gets a start or 2 in the majors as the year closes out.

I will turn this car around…

Prospects are human, I know we don’t want them to be but they are. What we all want is to see them get better everyday at every level, we want to think that the really good prospects exceed day one at every level. But it’s just not how it works. Prospects do not develop on a linear. They have ups and downs. They have good years and bad years. And sometimes, more often really, they have to figure it out, things have to slow down before they really start to pop.

With this in mind I present Nick Gonzales, Luis Ortiz and Hudson Head. The early struggles for Head and Gonzo are well documented and often discussed by many a Bucco fan and insiders alike. As for Otiz?

While Luis Ortiz is a well regarded prospect he isn’t a household name. I’ve touched on Ortiz’s kicking it into gear before, Those good 3 outings have turned into 4 straight good outings(ERA 2.74 FIP 2.93). Ortiz could have a devastating FB-SL combo that just hasn’t been as good as we had hoped, could we be witnessing a prospect finally “getting it”? This is what this is all about!

I recently wrote about Hudson Heads turnaround as well, his numbers were down last week, so seeing him turn right around and smack the ball around this week hit the spot. Is the game “slowing down” for him?

And last but not least, Gonzo. And unsurprisingly I’ve touched on Gonzo getting it going as well. So why bring it back up? Because since he got it going he hasn’t left off the gas, and that despite missing a good chunk of time in between. Coming off a .438/.528/.625 with an OPS of 1.151 is always worth a mention!

So yeah, I am really hoping for a lot of this as the season winds down!

This Pirates Rebuild Could Be Worse

https://www.podbean.com/media/share/pb-8ik7u-12a7709

Who sits in the Pirates rotation in 2023, and what type of additions make sense? It may be different this year compared to previous years for the Pirates front office as we break it all down. Plus, we ask if Dennis Eckersley knows enough about opposing teams to give a qualified opinion on their rebuilds. (Hint: Nope.) Grab the nearest Russian oligarch and listen to “30 Minutes of Bucs!”

Brought to you by ShopYinzz.com! Craig Toth 1covers the Pirates for Inside The Bucs Basement, and joins his buddy Chris at a 9-foot homemade oak bar to talk Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball. Listen. Subscribe. Share. We are “For Fans, By Fans & All Pirates Talk.” THE Pirates Fan Podcast found EVERYWHERE podcasts can be found and always at BucsInTheBasement.com!

Top 5 Pirates Prospect Performers

8-23-22 By Craig W. Toth (aka @BucsBasement on Twitter)

With as bad as things have been for Pittsburgh’s Big League Club over the past two and half seasons plus-posting a record of 127 and 216-Pirates Fans have at the very least been able to hang their hats on being a unanimous Top 5 Farm System. That is until Baseball America released their updated MLB Organizational Rankings, in conjunction with the Top 100 Prospects in the Minor Leagues.

After starting the year at #3, Pittsburgh has not only fallen to #9, but has also been passed by division rivals Cincinnati at #5 and St. Louis at #7. This along with two horrible losses to the Reds, being called a hodgepodge of nothingness by Red Sox broadcaster Dennis Eckersley, hearing that Derek Shelton is very “secure” in his job-even with the previously listed record-and General Manager Ben Cherington using his usual word salad to explain the state of the rebuild, has caused a complete meltdown across Pirates Social Media for the past week or so.

Now, I’m not going to try to make excuses for the state of the Pirates Farm System, as some might expect me to. They should have more Top 100 Prospects than the four in Baseball America; and, they should absolutely be a Top 5 System across the board, given the string of trades and high draft picks over the past 3 years. Yet, they aren’t.

However, it’s not like everyone is underperforming; which you would know if you’ve read any of my Top 5 posts during this season. It’s just not always the guys you thought it would be, who are leading the pack at times. Especially after hard luck injuries for Nick Gonzales and Henry Davis.

But, I will digress; before it starts to sound like I am racking up the excuses.

1) Blake Sabol-C/OF/DH (Altoona)

It’s been a little while since Troy Polamolu’s cousin has made his way onto the list. After starting out the year by slashing .297/.381/.500 with 5 homers across April and May, Sabol’s stats took a dip in June. Across twenty-two games he slashed .213/.286/.400, but added another 3 homers.

Then in July,and also leading into August, his bat woke up again. In his last 156 plate appearances-across 36 games-the former USC Trojan has batted .297 with an .856 OPS, while tacking on an additional 5 long balls.

On the season he is third on the Curve in OPS (.826) and home runs (13), second in RBI (57) and triples (5) and first in batting average (.278) and doubles (21).

Not bad for an afterthought catcher, designated hitter and part-time outfielder.

2) Anthony Solometo-LHP (Bradenton)

Obviously a more well known/high touted prospect than Sabol, Solometo had his longest-and arguably his most successful-outing of his 10 game professional career; in the piggyback role with another Top Prospect, Bubba Chandler.

In 5 innings of work he allowed only 3 hits and no runs, while striking out 4 and walking none. On the season he is sporting a 3.15 ERA and a 1.107 WHIP with 35 strikeouts and 11 walks in 34.1 innings of work.

At only 19 years of age, Solometo is a full 3.1 years younger than his average competitor.

3) Malcolm Nunez-1B/3B (Altoona)

I know…picking the new guy, who Cherington just traded the teams most consistent starter for, seems like a bit of cherry picking. However, it’s hard to ignore the power, and more importantly Nunez’s overall approach at the plate.

Since joining the Curve he has blasted 2 homers, to add to his career high of 19. Also, he has continued his yearly pattern of increased walks, with a 17.5% BB-rate. For comparison’s sake it was 13.7% in 350 plate appearances with the Double-A Springfield Cardinals; so it’s not exactly a new phenomenon.

On the year he is slashing .256/.364/.463 with the previously mentioned 19 homers and 30 total extra base hits.

4) Valentin Linarez-RHP (Bradenton)

Linarez was one of the Five Pirates Prospects that I had discussed as having Carved Up The Complex League during the 2021 season; along with Joelvis Del Rosario, Darvin Garcia, Carlos Jimenez and Po-Yu Chen.

At the time I projected that Linarez could potentially start the year in High-A Greensboro due to his age-22 at the beginning of the season. However, with Low-A Bradenton being deemed as his eventual landing spot, I was hopeful that he could get things going, and be promoted sooner rather than later.

Spoiler alert…that’s not what happened. Over the first three months of the season Linarez limped to a 5.36 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP; as his strikeout rate remained high at 11.20 per 9, but so did his walk rate-5.00 per 9.

Then he flipped a switch-to a certain degree-by concentrating more on control and less on trying to overpower batters for punch outs.

Over his last 7 starts, the 6’5” and 225 pound young man from the Dominican Republic has posted a 2.02 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP; earning Florida State League Pitcher of The Week Honors along the way.

5) Endy Rodriguez-C/2B/OF (Altoona)

Rodriguez has been the most consistent, if not the best prospect in the Pirates Farm System in 2022. And no, that’s not an exaggeration.

Since being called up to Altoona on August 9th he is slashing .371/.450/.657 with 2 homers, 2 doubles and at least one hit in every single game.

Bonus: Nick Gonzales-2B (Altoona)/Ji-Hwan Bae-IF/OF (Indianapolis)

All aboard the injury train.

Gonzales, Cherington’s initial First Round Draft Pick back in 2020, has been bitten by the injury bug more than once. Last season he missed over a month in Greensboro with a fractured right pinky; and then this year it was two with a heel issue while running to first base for the Curve.

Since his return-an extremely small sample size-Gonzales is batting .333 with 4 doubles and a triple in 39 plate appearances. For the season he is slashing .267/.379/.390 with 4 homers, and an unfortunate 32.2% strikeout rate.

On the other end of the spectrum is Bae; who had been on fire all year, but succumbed to an injury as of late. Prior to being placed on the IL-from July 25th to August 18th-with an oblique injury, Bae was slashing .297/.364/.450 with 8 home runs.

He only returned for two games during the Indians most recent series before being removed in the game in a double switch in the top of the 8th.

Unfortunately, he did not play the next day.

As of right now I have not been able to find out if this was injury related; or, part of the process to work him back slowly.

Guess we will have to wait and see.

There you have it! My Top 5 Pirates Prospect Performers for the 20th week of 2022.

Now remember, let me know I missed, who your Top 5 is and be sure check back each and every Tuesday (or Wednesday Night/Thursday Morning) hopefully-during the Minor League Baseball Season!

Blogger’s Update:

Five Pirates Thoughts at Five

8-22-22 – By Gary Morgan – @garymo2007 on Twitter

Another week of baseball begins, and another underwhelming if not overtly irritating week ends. The Pirates continue to make decisions that simply don’t make sense, and serve to really just frustrate fans.

A rebuilding team can afford to be bad, fans will accept that, well, most of them anyway, so long as the mistakes are being made by young players trying to find their way. So long as the kids are learning, struggling, toiling, fighting, well, that’s really all this is about.

Funny thing is, I think we’ve learned some things, certainly not what we expected to though, let’s dig in.

1. What We Assumed VS What We Learned

Before this season began, there was a list of players that fans and pseudo media types like me believed could factor in this season.

Cody Bolton, Travis Swaggerty, Rodolfo Castro, Roansy Contreras, Oneil Cruz, Canaan Smith-Njigba, Cal Mitchell, Diego Castillo and I’m sure there were even more, every individual has their own built up list. Hell, almost daily I get five people asking me why Ji-hwan Bae who’s been out with an oblique injury hasn’t been called up.

We got some of that to be sure but man we had some strange additions to the list didn’t we? Had some incredibly weird subtractions too.

Two that I think shocked us the most were Travis Swaggerty and Jack Suwinski, for different reasons of course.

Everyone and their mother thought Swaggerty would be the first real “help” coming up from AAA for the outfield. Nobody considered Jack Suwinski the first of the outfield prospects, especially since he started in AA.

It’s funny how things work out isn’t it? It’s even funnier that we seem to never learn from experience like this that when it comes to who is and isn’t in the plans, man we just don’t know.

Here’s what we can say. Ben Cherington sees little to no reason why AA players aren’t just as capable of making the jump to MLB as AAA players. We’ve also seen that not being on the 40-man in no way means you won’t be an option or even a counted upon prospect.

The reason I really like this lesson learned through hindsight is surprisingly simple. We may not know the name of every prospect who will come up and add their name to the list of those we’re excited to see. The nightly performance of the AAA team and the members of that roster aren’t the only ones we should be looking to. There will be injured players returning like Smith-Njigba, Gorski, Davis, Gonzales and others still will have to deal with their own injuries.

We simply don’t know. That’s the fun in all this, at least for me. We entered this season with a whole bunch of thoughts as to whom would help, who would answer a question, who could fill a spot. Now we have some answers we maybe didn’t expect.

Think about how many of us wrote off Rodolfo Castro for instance. He came up, hit a few homeruns, and fell into a tailspin. Back up and down a couple more times, and now he’s stuck, at least for now.

Tucupita Marcano who already had MLB experience, was inexplicably placed in AA to start the season, now he’s on yet another stint with the big club and has started to look the part. Be honest, he wasn’t even in your top 4 or 5 to come up here and make an impact, yet here he is.

Cruz was supposed to struggle on defense and thrive on offense. Really though, he’s done shockingly well on defense, even showing marked improvement, but struggled with the bat. That’s not all that shocking, but regressing wasn’t something most of us saw coming.

Eyes open, if nothing else being surprised is interesting.

2. Last Place in the Central

The Pirates lost 2 of 3 to the Reds over the weekend, and that has plopped the Pirates in last place in their division. The fact that they’ve ended up here isn’t a total shock, and there is still time to see them claw their way back out, but even if successful, the wheels have simply fallen off the wagon.

2022 wasn’t going to be a year anyone was going to call “success”, but forward progress most certainly should have been.

They prioritized service time over big league experience, even as we’ve seen first hand there is simply no substitute for learning your craft at the highest level of the sport. They used players who had no future here instead of trusting a system they spent 3 seasons building.

Call it lack of spending. Call it poor decision making. Blame moving players with no backup plan in mind. Call it whatever you want, but know Ben Cherington didn’t have to sacrifice another season. The path to marginal improvement was right there, and he chose not to take it.

Maybe 5 years from now we’ll all thank him for making some very unpopular decisions. Maybe 5 years from now we’ll be watching another GM promise to fix the mistakes that were made and bring this franchise back to it’s former glory.

I still believe that the Pirates have some very good talent on the way, along with some very good talent currently learning and already here. 2023 should be a year in which they flirt with .500, and folks, if it isn’t, there will be little trust left in the already eroding trust bucket fans have for Cherington. At some point, you have to show progress, and no matter how you try to “educate” a fan base, wins and losses still and always will tell the story.

There is little reason this season shouldn’t have seen 70 wins.

There’ll be even fewer should next season not show fans something to believe in.

If you’re a GM and you’re going to continually use words like Urgency or Progress, at some point people might like to see either.

3. If There Isn’t Enough, They’re in Trouble

The Pirates have some really talented players in their system and here’s the thing, they really better be enough to flesh this team out, because they’re out of guys to move to get more. At least without doing irreparable damage to the team.

Bryan Reynolds could return top end talent, but it also removes one from the team. David Bednar, same thing. At this stage of things, that’s not a good move, in fact it’s not even justifiable.

This is why eventually, these things cost money. They simply don’t have enough to create a team from their system alone and watching them constantly try to sift free talent from the waiver wire, especially as much as we saw in this season comes across as deadly desperate.

The team, right now, this offseason has to decide, are we in or are we out. If we’re in, they have to sign some better players to surround these kids. If they’re out, well, this thing is not only behind, it’s really just getting started.

Look at Ke’Bryan Hayes’ contract.

What that says to me is they plan to spend in 2024 and see a chance they’re good through the end of the decade.

Building out a contract like that makes me feel they’re going to be ok not putting much more into the team this offseason, regardless of what I’d like to see.

On a normal team, I wouldn’t think much of this, but for the Pirates, deciding where that extra 2 or 3 million are going to fall is far more informing than on other teams.

4. Derek Shelton Will Return

As I’ve told you probably since 2020, Derek Shelton will be the coach of this team in 2023. I knew that because I knew he was going to be given a chance to preside over something the team, not the players, the Management team, believed had a chance to win based on the talent they provided.

I believe 2023 will represent the first year they feel he has enough to actually evaluate his job, more importantly, I believe the management above his head to be highly involved in his decision making to begin with.

I don’t expect dancing in the streets.

I do expect him to quickly change from the ole ball coach who’s doing the best he can with this group of youngsters to scapegoat though.

Despite Cherington officially proclaiming that Shelton will return, and Shelton’s own sentiment that he felt very secure, 2023 will mark the year where expectation simply has to start becoming more important.

This year has been a roller coaster, and when the kids who were filling in for injured vets started to play the team looked like the trajectory was pointed at least a little upward, maybe that says we should expect Shelton’s performance to improve next year. Maybe if the team doesn’t expect better themselves the whole damn thing is just not going well enough.

A team built with 9 players who were DFA’d before being acquired by the Pirates probably has no business being good, and probably has no business judging the coach they hired to oversee them.

Maybe a GM who has 9 players who were DFA’d on their 26-man roster at this stage of a rebuild has no business judging anyone, or a job himself.

2023 is a big year, for a lot of reasons.

5. Hope is Not a Plan

We hear that statement a lot, but it’s so true. Building a team is simply a very tough thing to do. Building a team without spending money is impossible. We can all hope that the prospects come up here and look the part, but hope doesn’t make a plan. Rookies play like rookies, and they always take time. A team that cares about winning, well they provide benchmarks all over the diamond. Guys they plan to lose their jobs to youngsters who have higher ceilings and more time to deliver on it.

That’s not what players like VanMeter or Padlo are. Those are guys who themselves couldn’t beat out the benchmarks they met in other teams. Those are guys who even if they perform don’t give you much.

The Pittsburgh Pirates need to stop spending so much time auditioning other team’s castoffs and more time working through their own borderline players.

Of all the sins of 2022, the greatest will be finishing it not knowing one thing more abut Travis Swaggerty. Never seeing how Bae could manage MLB pitching. And on and on. Not answering questions about your own players leads to 40-man protection mistakes.

This off season there will be plenty of players who don’t fit and are left exposed to the Rule 5 Draft. The offseason following 2023, well that one is going to be much worse.

Worse than anything, when we see them answer a question, it means nothing. How long did we know Yoshi was a bust before Ben Cherington did the right thing? How much longer will we have to watch VanMeter before he finally pulls the plug?

Wouldn’t that time be better served learning something about someone you might see as a bubble 40-man member? Good bad or ugly, wouldn’t we be better off seeing Hoy Park instead of Kevin Padlo? Even if only to cross him off the list? Shouldn’t we be seeing Carter Bins who they literally have to decide to put on the 40 man or leave him exposed? Shouldn’t we be watching Miguel Yajure instead of Eric Stout?

Guys are going to lose jobs, happens every year, so use your time to evaluate guys who will be decided on.

Don’t get me wrong, there needs to be a level of performance before deciding to call guys up, but if the choice is those guys or someone else’s scrap, I lean the Pirates own guys.

Wish they would.

The Downward Spiral

8-18-22 – By Gary Morgan – @garymo2007 on Twitter

I highly doubt that New Castle, Pennsylvania native and Rock icon Trent Reznor was referring to the Pittsburgh Pirates when he named his band Nine Inch Nails breakout album, but man it sure would be fitting if he had.

The funny thing about spirals though, they create a path both up and down.

This team has just about ignored the spiral all together as they’ve simply nosedived post All-Star Break. Anyone that was hitting, now isn’t. Anyone who was pitching found themselves injured, fatigued or snake bitten at least.

Veterans have struggled. Rookies have failed. Management has squandered opportunity to grow youth and amplified the playing time of those who didn’t earn it. The General manager has provided little in the way of reinforcements, at least not those fans might actually want to see.

The Manager has had nothing to say beyond platitudes handed him by the GM he serves. He proclaims safety when it comes to his job, which even though completely true, put into the universe a complete lack of understanding that calls for his head are everywhere.

Worse and worse. Over and over. Piling heap of dung upon fresh piles.

It doesn’t have to be this way. Never did really.

The Pirates have ways to improve their season, even if only marginally. The trip up the spiral is never as easy a trip, but it starts with step one.

Let’s talk about a few right here and right now.

Train, but Don’t Overwhelm

I’ve heard the argument that the players are all horrible, and how could I or anyone argue really, they have been. They’re also mostly young.

There’s a time for training youngsters, refining their abilities and sharpening their pencils. Initial call up date isn’t it. Youngsters are filled with excitement, faith in their abilities, visions of how great the ride is going to be.

They’re also quickly met with pitchers better than most of what they faced in the minors, hitters who look like they could swing a telephone pole and catch up with 100 MPH, coaching staffs that don’t just catch on to how to attack a guy in game 6 of a series, but game 1.

The last thing they need is to be bombarded with information. Send a wide eyed kid up to the plate and you can expect poor results more often than not. Send a wide eyed kid up to the plate after filling his head with more information than he’s ever had given to him in his life before an at bat and expect even worse.

Kids take time. Wait for them to struggle before “helping”. Wait for them to get their sea legs before expecting them to stand tall on their own.

In a word, chill.

This isn’t just my opinion. The beauty of doing this stuff, well, minor league players don’t mind talking to people like me, and as you all surely realize, many of those minor leaguers become MLB players. The quote “information overload” has been unsolicited delivered my way no fewer than 4 times.

Enough Waiver Claims

Before I get into this, I don’t mean ever. In season, crap happens, and you have to do what you have to do.

I don’t want to see anymore of it in 2023 as an initial answer to filling out a roster.

That’s what Josh VanMeter was, a DFA’d player who the Pirates traded for so they didn’t “risk” not getting him.

I’ve made the argument they didn’t need to fill the role as they had plenty of options, but since they felt they did, get a real player. Get someone who has done something at the MLB level because anything less, well you might as well just play one of your own prospects. I mean if we’re learning on the job, let’s have it be one of the guys you claim has a high ceiling and you have internally. If not, spend some money and get someone.

Instead of getting a pitcher who used to be good five years ago hoping and praying they do well enough to get you a AA infielder in return come August. Go get a pitcher who was ok last year and get him for a couple seasons. You can still trade him if you like, but you won’t be forced to know in 4 months.

I don’t have some dollar figure I consider to be a magic number. I honestly don’t think certain positions are even up for discussion personally, but get real players either way. 2 year deal for a first baseman won’t stop anyone from doing anything prospect wise, but it might just help you score some runs. Spent 5 million on a catcher last year, do it again, and maybe 2 on another. Spent a couple million on a starting pitcher last year, do it again but get a 7 or 8 million dollar version too.

Basically stop saying you want to improve, then ignoring what you’d need to do in order to actually do it. Don’t depend on kids to fill a hole you have no hope of filling internally, or minimally give the kids something to beat.

Take the Win When it Presents Itself

If a player like Jack Suwinski comes along and hits a bunch of homeruns but struggles in other aspects, absolutely try to help him improve, but allow him to keep excelling at what he’s doing really well up here. In other words, that one thing he’s doing well is worth more to the big club than it is to the Indians. Train the player, but expect learning to be complete to take a minute. Keep waiting for the total package to show himself upon callup and doom yourself to never finding the 80% of MLB players who never master every aspect of being a big leaguer.

If you call up a 29 or 30 year old reliever and he performs, don’t assume some waiver claim will outperform him. The organization has spent plenty of time working with this player, maybe try to get more than 3 or 4 innings out of him before believing someone who just cropped up is better. Better yet, sign some MLB quality arms.

Put Your Best Lineup Out Most Days

A near constant Shelton complaint I know, but creating a consistent lineup gives youngsters something to break their way into. It rewards those who perform, it allows guys to settle in, and if affords the possibility of riding hot streaks.

As I said earlier, kids have plenty on their minds already when they get called up, eliminate one more by having them grow accustomed to their place in the lineup.

Reward a rookie for doing well by immediately giving them more playing time. Picking who is and isn’t a good matchup for them every game eventually creeps into a player’s head. Am I not good enough to face a lefty? I always was in AAA, man, I thought I was anyway. Don’t invite doubt, young players aren’t immune to it yet.

If You Make a Mistake, Identify and Move On

When you sign players in the 2-7 million dollar range, you aren’t always going to win. When you miss, admit it, and move on.

You don’t do any favors for the team, or the players in question when you refuse to move on from a mistake.

Blame the scouts if you want, hell go ahead and fire two or three of them if they’re leading you astray, but take care of the field first. Proving yourself right is nowhere near as important as moving the ball forward.

This year they were pretty quick with Hembree, inexplicable with several others. Just make sense and be consistent.

If All Else Fails, Tell Us How You’re Fixing It

Depending on that former first rounder to finally make it and make an impact this year then look up in July only to find he isn’t doing either? Who’s next? Do we need to sign someone?

Pitcher doing everything well but giving up too many homeruns bloating everything else out of control? At least tell us there is a plan. Tell us you’re working on something that should address it. Don’t just keep telling us it’s about execution while you continue to see the same results night after night. If a guy is making an adjustment, that’s ok, just tell us he’s working through something, but you don’t want to give details for obvious reasons.

If you just want to see how someone does against lefties or righties even if you know it might be a struggle, fine, just tell us.

Just Stop Being Evasive

Despite their behavior on social media, most fans are smart.

We know what you say is at least half crap, and honestly, we’re just tired of it. We notice that the only time Bob Nutting talks to the media or fans is after signing a team record deal.

We notice that Ben Cherington keeps bringing in guys other teams have given up on and expects his staff to make moon pies out of cow pies. We notice it because we haven’t seen any indication this staff is capable of it.

Admit that there is pressure associated with your position. Even if it’s a lie. Even if you know for a fact Nutting isn’t firing anyone for X amount of years, fans don’t want to hear anyone presiding over 100 loss seasons to confidently proclaim they’re “safe”. F that Sir, you don’t get to feel safe.

Nobody who hit under .200 should feel safe either, but plenty of them do I’ll assure you.

Nobody with an ERA over 5.00 should feel safe, but I again assure you, plenty do.

See, when you create a culture of no pressure, it’s going to trickle to your players, and if you put no pressure on baseball players to perform, every so often it will become OK to fail. Especially when you provide no veteran leadership to make sure everyone knows that MLB don’t play like that homie.

Creating a culture only happens when the example is set at the executive level. Start with Bob. You only have to talk when something good happens, you’ll wind up with execs who feel that way. Which leads to coaches who don’t think they owe you an answer on a subject. which leads to players who think you don’t deserve to ask because you never played the game.

Never spend money unless the attrition of arbitration forces your hand, leads to executives who fear losing prospects and fear an extension that doesn’t work out more than they fear losing. All that leads to coaches who are afraid to push the envelope with a starter because they know they can’t possibly expect the team to spend prospect capital or money to recoup the loss. Then it leads to players waiting to get paid, expecting it to never really happen until they’re in their next stop.

Sign some guys to extensions, and pick up some quality free agents, executives will start making smarter decisions with call ups and signings because the sphincter isn’t quite as tight. Coaches feel more secure that they can rely on who’s here while they focus their attention to onboarding and training youngsters. Players know they could be next to earn that belief from their team. They know performance does matter and they know they could win here.

Again, no dollar figure, no set list of needs, just culture.

Build a culture from the top down and maybe, just maybe things will start to turn around over time. Right now, the Pittsburgh Pirates are an organization that is going to have a small but rabid fan base when they win, each and every one of them will in the back of their head know when it all falls apart.

Culture can abate that to a degree, so long as the culture includes spending like a major league baseball team, even a bottom third level spending baseball team.

This fan base isn’t stupid, so don’t expect us to believe 60 million is the best you could do. More than that, don’t expect us to believe that’s how it had to be so this whole rebuild works. That’s an absolute farce.

There is no reason this couldn’t have been better this year with even an increase of 15 million in the payroll.

Back to culture, maybe include getting the fans to buy in.

Give them a reason to cheer, they’ll deal with growing pains. Give them something mediocre but acceptable, they’ll believe in that rookie that much more should he beat your first option out.

Build a culture of trying.

We aren’t dumb, and we’ll accept this league isn’t fair. What we won’t accept is that this city is so poorly supporting their MLB franchise that this is what we deserve. I know we won’t accept that because it’s flatly not true.

This fan base has supported this team since 1979 with next to nothing to show for it and not a single hall of fame player who spent more than 3 or 4 seasons in Pittsburgh.

I’d say we’re supporting this team a bit better than they’ve deserved actually.

Don’t tell us it’s different, show us. You’ll be surprised how patient we’ll be if you show us you’re trying while we wait.

Do things like this and maybe, just maybe you’ll start to make that slow and steady climb back up the spiral. Maybe instead of digging yourself deeper into the ground you’ll find your way closer to what you want to reach.

More than anything, maybe someone will be there to watch it.

Managing The Pirates Roster

https://www.podbean.com/media/share/pb-c9kp7-129e07e

Let’s talk roster management for the Pittsburgh Pirates. Let’s talk now. Let’s talk September call-ups. Let’s see who needs to get off the 40-man to make room in the off-season for must-adds to the 40-man. Jason Martinez of RosterResource and Fangraphs joins us to discuss in “30 Minutes of Bucs!”

Brought to you by ShopYinzz.com! Craig Toth covers the Pirates for Inside The Bucs Basement, and joins his buddy Chris at a 9-foot homemade oak bar to talk Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball. Listen. Subscribe. Share. We are “For Fans, By Fans & All Pirates Talk.” THE Pirates Fan Podcast found EVERYWHERE podcasts can be found and always at BucsInTheBasement.com!

Top 5 Pirates Prospect Performers

8-2-22/8-12-22/8-16-22 By Craig W. Toth (aka @BucsBasement on Twitter)

420….No, not the day or time that first popped into your head. This was the attendance for the Sunday Matinee attended by myself and the family a couple of days ago at LECOM Park-I still call it McKechnie Field; sometimes by accident. And, if I am being honest 420 might seem a little generous, as it felt like the 10 of us made up half the crowd.

Every kid got at least one ball, one got a pair of batting gloves from Bubba Chandler and several of them got autographs-from Jase Bowen to Sergio Campana, to Integrated Baseball Performance Coach Casey Harms. Hell, even Marty The Marauder got in on the fun.

As we walked around the each staff member told us their stories; of how they landed in Brandenton, why they chose to say, and of course their love of baseball. One particular gentleman paid enough attention to know our entire group was at our seats, in order to preserve the memory.

Then after the game we all waited around to get a picture with Marauders Broadcaster Spenser Smith, to properly cap off the experience.

How did I know this was a great time, not just for me, but all the kiddos we crammed into the party bus for the ride from Madeira Beach to Bradenton?

Well, the next morning each and every one of them was still talking about; in awe of what that had experienced.

Just like I was in awe of the players on both sides; that poured everything they had onto the baseball field that afternoon. With a crowd no larger than some high school games I have witnessed. Their professional careers on the line. Playing a game that we all love.

Week of 7-26 to 7-31

1) Jase Bowen-2B/OF/DH (Bradenton)

Moved into MLB Pipeline’s Top 30 Pirates Prospects with the graduation of outfielder Cal Mitchell, Bowen has been on a tear. Over the past month, 24 games and 107 plate appearances, the Pirates former 11th Round Pick-and Michigan State Wide Receiver Commit-is slashing .309/.393/.553 with 5 homers, 11 total extra base hits and a 169 wRC+.

2) Endy Rodriguez-C/OF/2B (Greensboro)

Not many Pirates Minor Leaguers have been able to duplicate what Rodriguez is doing with the bat.

Currently riding a 27 game on-base streak-during which he batting .383, with a 1.234 OPS, 8 homers and a 21K to 13BB-ratio-Rodriguez is looking to shoot up the prospect rankings; as well as through the rest of the Pirates System.

3) Dariel Lopez-3B/SS

Lopez-like Bowen-also entered the Pirates Top 30 with Oneil Cruz’s graduation. And, like Endy he has streak of his own; a 14 game hitting streak, that would be 28 if it wasn’t for an 0 for 5 game back on July 12th.

Since June 25th-the day the streak would have started, he has been slashing .356/.379/.636 with 9 homers and a 166 wRC+.

4) Jauri Custodio-OF (FCL/Bradenton)

Originally signed by the Colorado Rockies for $150,000, Custodio eventually had his contract voided when a severe bone bruise was discovered on his entrance physical.

Later the Pirates would sign him in 2019 and immediately send him to the DSL. During his 17 and 19 year-old seasons-with 2020 being lost to the pandemic, the young Dominican outfielder would slash .314/.370/.456 with 5 homers and 21 total extra base hits.

Then to start this season he landed in the FCL; where in 15 games and 50 plate appearances he batted .357 with an 1.198 OPS and 2 long balls. Ultimately promoted to the Low-A Marauders just this past week, Custodio went 3 for 7 in two games played.

5) Po-Yu Chen-RHP (Bradenton)

Part of me may be a little biased since I saw him pitch in person, but man can Chen really pull the string on his curveball.

Across 7 scoreless, one hit innings this past Sunday, he struck out 5 and only walked one; improving his ERA to 4.33 and his WHIP to 1.16. On the year he has struck out 86 batters and walked 29 in an even 79 innings of work.

Bonus: Tucupita Marcano-2B/SS/OF (Indianapolis/Pittsburgh)

Yes, I understand that everyone knows by now that Marcano was promoted to the Pirates on August 3rd; however, I’m not sure everyone is aware that he had been slashing .362/.433/.500 with a 14.9% K to 11.9% BB and a 152 wRC+ during his most recent stint in Indianapolis.

Week of 8-2 to 8-7

For the majority of this week I was still on vacation with the family in sunny Florida, so I didn’t get to watch any of the Pirates Minor League games in real time; forcing myself to play catch-up over the past several days.

Although we did get to take in a game between the Tampa Tarpons and the Clearwater Thresher on Tuesday night, so not all was lost.

Now all I have to do is get back up to speed for the games this week.

Narrarator: He did not catchup on this week’s games on time while trying to complete analysis for the previous weeks 12 players (two bonuses).

1) J.C. Flowers-RHP (Altoona)

Over this past week, the former Florida State Outfielder turned starter-and now reliever-made two appearances, totaling 5.1 innings. In these two short-long relief outings-he allowed one earned run on 3 hits, while striking out 6 and walking a lone Seawolf.

On the year he has posted a 2.89 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP with 53 strikeouts and 23 walks in 62.1 innings out of the bullpen; or, twice as an opener.

2) Cody Bolton-RHP (Indianapolis)

Ever since Bolton reached 5 innings and 91 pitches back on June 2nd, he has regularly been used as an opener and long reliever/piggyback starter.

As most of you will remember Bolton had not pitched in a professional game in the past two years, so it is no surprise that the Pirates Development Team took their foot of the gas concerning this still young-only 24 year-old-righty.

During this past week he pitched only 3.2 innings in two appearances; not allowing a run in either. He also did not walk a single batter, while striking out 3.

On the season he had a 2.75 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, a .193 AVG Against and 54 strike outs to an somewhat uncomfortably high 30 walks.

3) Tyler Samaniego-LHP (Altoona)

Talk about a breath of fresh air during the 2022 Minor League Baseball Season.

Over his last 4 appearances, across 6.2 innings, the former Jaguar of South Alabama has not allowed a run, given up only two hits, walked 2 and struck out 4.

For the year he has a combined 1.82 ERA and .78 WHIP across High-A Greensboro and Double-A Altoona.

4) Andres SilveraRHP (DSL)

Signed by the Pirates at 16 years young out of David, Panama, in January of 2021; Silvera made his professional debut 5 days before his 17th Birthday that same year.

Still barely 18 years old, he has a .79 ERA and a .73 WHIP, with 41 strikeouts and only 6 walks in 34.1 innings of work.

5) Dariel Lopez/Endy Rodriguez

Over the past couple months of the season, I’m not sure I could I come up with a hotter duo in the Pirates Farm System-or even all of MiLB-than Lopez and Rodriguez.

Since June 1st, Lopez is slashing .332/.359/.559 with 13 homers and 23 total extra base hits. Although-as always-the walk to strikeout rate remains a concern as is at 4.6% to 26% on the season.

As far as Rodriguez is concerned, he has slashed .331/.433/.610 with 10 bombs and 27 extra base hits during that same time frame. Ultimately earning a call-up to Double-A Altoona on August 9th.

Bonus: Roansy Contreras-RHP (Indianapolis)

This will not devolve into a discussion concerning service manipulation, Super 2, development or innings management. It is just glimpse at his stats plain and simple.

Over his last 3 starts-2 IP, 3 IP and 4 IP-Contreras has a 3.00 ERA, a 1.00 WHIP, 16 strikeouts and only one walk.

There you have it! My Top 5 Pirates Prospect Performers for the last two-17th and 18th-weeks of 2022.

Now remember, let me know I missed, who your Top 5 is and be sure check back each and every Tuesday (or Wednesday Night/Thursday Morning) hopefully-during the Minor League Baseball Season!

Being behind on games isn’t alway a bad thing. I mean who doesn’t like binge watching baseball for a few days on end; making predictions concerning performances, and seeing how they play out hours later, instead of days or weeks.

Also, if you were wondering, I make my lists for each week, as soon as the “Sundaygames are over; and before I start the next week. Which is why you may see a guy who ended up having a poor week, following the one(s) I was judging him on.

It keeps things realistic, and it keeps me honest.

And speaking of being honest…

I didn’t get the chance to dictate all my notes and numbers into analysis, so you guys and girls get a giant three week recap of the Pirates Minor League System.

Week of 8-9 to 8-14

With the Major League Club scuffling out of the All-Star Break-6 wins and 16 losses-Pirates Fans have turned their eyes-more often-to the Minors; and of course roster and rotation projections for 2023.

1) Endy Rodriguez-C/2B/OF (Altoona)

He hasn’t skipped a beat on his trip from the Grasshoppers to the Curve; so much so that he has almost become a cut, copy and paste on the Top 5 Pirates Prospect Performers.

In 5 games and 22 plate appearances he has a .316 Average and two home runs.

And he is cutting runners down.

2) Luis Ortiz-RHP (Altoona)

For at least a few weeks in a row now I have been hearing rumblings of Luis Ortiz; culminating with his addition into the Fangraphs Top 15; as pointed out by @JV_PITT in his weekly Top 20 Prospect Update.

On the year he has a 4.79 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP and 108 strikeouts in 103.1 innings, including 13 in 10 innings this past week; good for a .90 ERA and a .80 WHIP.

One concern that does exist with Ortiz is his propensity to give up the long ball. On the year he has surrendered 18 homers in 21 starts; or an average of 1.57 per 9.

3) Aaron Shakelford-1B/2B (Altoona)

Yes he is 25; which is a full 1.1 years older than the average Double-A player. But, now he has 22 homers in back-to-back seasons in the Minors.

On the season he has batted a consistent .244, while striking out a slightly high 28.9% of the time; and, walking a somewhat low 8.7% of the time. Still, it’s not like his .280 ISO can be completely ignored.

4) Quinn Priester-RHP (Altoona)

Since his return from the IL, and more specifically since his return to Altoona, Priester has worked his way to a 2.49 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP with 46 strikeouts in 43.1.

Obviously there are a limited number of starts, and a limited number of innings before the end of the year; so I am unsure how much more can be expected of Priester this season.

Can you say Arizona Fall League?

5) Jack Brannigan-3B/RHP (Bradenton)

Ever since I first wrote and spoke about Brannigan-following his selection in the third round-my mind has been torn about his role as a two way player; especially after I read the scouting report concerning his desire to get a shot as a position player.

So far in his short professional career-and not surprisingly-he has only taken the field as a 3rd Basemen and DH for the Low-A Bradenton Marauders; after an extremely small sample size in the FCL.

In only 24 plate appearances-another SSS-the Notre Dame product has slashed .333/.417/.714 with 2 homers and 2 doubles.

Clearly, I haven’t given up on him taking the mound eventually-more than like next season. And, neither have the Pirates if I had to make a wager.

Bonus: Cal Mitchell/Diego Castillo/Jack Suwinski/Travis Swaggerty

Obviously there have been others that have been demoted back to the Minors, however, these are the guys that I hear being talked about the most; outside of Contreras. So, I thought I would take a look in on how each of them have been performing since their demotions.

Cal Mitchell is slashing .354/.400/.508 with a homer and a 144 wRC+ since returning to the Circle City.

Diego Castillo is batting .314 with an .846 OPS and 2 home runs during his first taste of the Minor Leagues this season.

Jack Suwinski has 5 homers, a 43.2% K-rate, a .221.AVG and a 91 wRC+ in 95 plate appearances.

Travis Swaggerty is batting .241 with 3 homers and 15 total extra base hits since his uneventful time in a Pirates uniform, back in the beginning of June.

Ok, now truthfully I am done and caught up; adding in the 19th week of Minor League Baseball for good measure.

Check back on Tuesday the 23rd, as the Pirates Farm System quickly approaches the last month of the season.

Top 20 Prospect Update

8-16-22 – By Justin Verno – @JV_PITT on Twitter

1-Henry Davis-No Stats this week

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
CPX.000/.250/.000.250.000.200160%25%
A.500/.675/.1.0001.750.500.70634925%0%
A+.341/.450/.5851.035.244.4591788%18%
AA.177/.320/.355.675.196.312909.3%18.7%

2-Temarr Johnson-incomplete stats

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%k%
Week
FCL.143/.143/.286.429

3-Liover Peguero

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
Week.269/.269/.423.692.154.300830%23.1%
AA.260/.301/.396.697.135.306874.6%22.1%
MLB.333/.500/.333.838.000.39515525%50%

4-Quinn Priester-

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
A30.003.834.740.000%10%
A+2.216.887.522.652.636.7%20%
Week53.604.011.209.1%36.4%
AA43.12.492.933.621.206.7%25.8%

5-Nick Gonzales-

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBA+wRC+BB%K%
CPX.429/.429/.8571.286.262.5722350%14.3%
A.000/.250/.000.250.000.183925%50%
Week.286/.375/.500.875.214.3991370%25%
AA.242/.364/.366.731.124.33710712.8%32.8%

6-Endy Rodriguez

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
A+.302/.392/.544.936.242.41214811.4%20.8%
week.316/.409/.6841.093.3684631919.1%9.1%
AA.316/.409/.6841.093.368.4631919.1%9.1%

7-Matt Fraizer

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
Week.250/.368/.250.618.000.3048610%25%
Season.255/.294/.353.646.128.290767.6%24.2%

8-Jared Jones

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
week4.16.235.030.920%27.8%
season1015.084.944.211.379.8%27.5%

9-Bubba Chandler 

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
CPX150.002.333.090.8516.945.8%
Week36.006.822.0020%40%
A12.25.685.624.871.7418%31.1%
BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
CPX.231/444/.6541.098.423.49018725%16.7%
Weeks.273/.333/.273.606.000.295818.3%38.3%
A.226/.300/.321.621.423.2928010%38.3%

10-Ji-hwan Bae-NO STATS THIS WEEK-

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwWRC+BB%K%
week
season.297/.364/.450.814.153.3611189.5%17.6%

11-Michael Burrows

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
AA522.942.733.991.108.9%32.4%
Week4.12.085.091.1512.5%37.5%
AA34.24.933.884.391.306.2%23.3%

12-Travis Swaggerty

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
week(AAA).150/.227/.200.427.050.206179.1%22.7%
AAA.258/.344/.416.760.158.34010511.5%26%
MLB.111/.111/.111.222.000.099-420%44.4%

13-Anthony Solometo

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPPBB%K%
Week44.502.991.005.9%23.5%
Season29.13.682.811.199%25.4%

14-Kyle Nicolas

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
week61.504.410.335%25%
season69.13.894.184.631.2510.9%27.6%

15-Luis Ortiz

IPERAFIPxFIPBB%K%
Week100.902.018.1%35.1%
AA103.14.794.753.937.8%17.7%

MY FIVE

16-Po-Yu Chen

IPERAFIPxFIPWHIPBB%K%
WEEK36.009.822.0014.3%0%
A86.24.673.703.781.218.8%25.3%

17-Dariel Lopez

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
week.235/300/.294.594.059.2766310%20%
season.291/.330/.495.824.203.3641184.9%25.7%

18- Hudson Head

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
week.14/.217/.286.503.143.232358.7%30.4%
season.230/.335/.387.722.157.3349910.1%34.1%

19-Connor Scott

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
week.333/.368/.6671.035.333.4391755.3%21.1%
season.251/.318/.397.715.146.318958.5%21.8%

20-Lonnie White Jr-NO STATS THIS WEEK-

BA/OBP/SLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+BB%K%
Week
CPX.286/.286/.8571.143.571.4921080%42.9%

A Few quick thoughts-

I see you!

When Fangraphs added Ortiz to the Top 15, I wasn’t impressed. I went as far as to say he wouldn’t have been my choice for the spot (that said, I’d still have Lopez there over Ortiz).

But he has looked really good since he slid into that group. Over his last three outings he’s been fantastic. In those three games he’s thrown 17 innings, striking out 18 on his way to a good slash line of-

ERA 2.65 FIP 3.53 0.71 WHIP K-29% BB-4.8%

Really nice work, keep it rolling Luis!

Kyle Nicholas. After a scorching hot start followed by a cold front, Kyle has been pitching better as of late and had a solid week.

Mike Burrows had a really nice week. I get the surface numbers don’t look at all like fans had hoped, but if we dig a little deeper the line is much better than most think. Why? In his second and third start in AAA, he gave up 10 runs in 8.2 innings. Looking at the other 26.2 innings he has an ERA of 3.12. He’s made some good adjustments, but those 10 innings loom large. The sample size here is small either way, but all in all he’s thrown better than most think.

Batter you than me-

Hudson Head and Connor Scott swapped hot-cold spots here. Head, who had been really killing the ball, cooled off and had a pretty rough week while Scott, who had been down and out found himself red hot.

Keep on truckin’

It’s one week, I get that. But man, Endy just keeps trucking and has started at AA right where he left off in A+. His bat, approach, and swing just continue to wreak havoc! As I mentioned a few weeks ago, there is still room on the Endy Bandwagon. Grab a seat before they’re gone.

Five Pirates Thoughts at Five

8-15-22 – By Gary Morgan – @garymo2007 on Twitter

An awful road trip wrapped up and for some reason this time, fans didn’t ignore it. I’ve been following this team far longer than I’ve been covering them, so let’s just say I’ve seen my share of bad baseball teams. When a really bad team heads off on a West Coast trip, usually they just get ignored. Sure, people look at the box scores, maybe they check the rankings, but folks had detailed points of anger this time.

Meaning fans paid attention, and were rewarded with a team that refuses to roster 5 starters for their rotation. They were given the continual mind F that is Josh VanMeter having a roster spot, couple that with the same player making a poor throw to Oneil Cruz to negate a routine double play.

The Pirates have added talent to the pool, yet they refuse to let some of it swim. This isn’t likely to be a pleasant read today, but it is necessary.

Let’s do it.

1. Philosophy Over Result

The Pirates have a vision of a “great” at bat. It’s what Daniel Vogelbach did here in fact. Here’s the outline. 1. If you’re going to swing, look to do damage. (meaning swing hard) 2. You get 3 strikes, every at bat should be around there minimally. (meaning see pitches) 3. Situational hitting is not an excuse to stop seeking damage or seeing pitches.

Andy Haines is the hitting coach, and yes, he believes in this philosophy. A philosophy that probably works for some players, but most, as we’re clearly seeing, it just sets most of their at bats behind the 8 ball.

This is an organizational concept. Meaning it comes from higher up than anyone who lives in the dugout. The Pirates believe that creating selective hitters maximizes talent offensively and helps to minimize the effect that opposition starting pitchers have on the outcome of games.

Rick Eckstein the previous hitting coach had his own philosophy and as you’ll recall, I was a proponent of removing him from his position. The reasons were different. Rick taught players to hunt “their zone” meaning ALL of the above, but he wanted to see his hitters select 1 quadrant of the strike zone. Well, opposing teams are smart, anytime you do something that produces a pattern, guess what’s going to happen? Right. The pattern will be turned on it’s head.

A team discovers that Bryan Reynolds’ zone is middle in as a lefty hitter? Guess what he won’t see unless it’s a mistake?

Fast forward to Haines. No zone to narrow things, but if you’re an opposing pitcher you know I can probably just throw two strikes. You know also that a hitter could still swing if you make one of them a fatty, but it’s still not a given.

This isn’t all about Haines though. The Milwaukee Brewers moved on from both Haines and Vogelbach after last season. They removed Haines along with his star pupil, and the Pirates gripped up both. There isn’t much more you need to see to understand what they do IS in fact the team philosophy.

It’s broken.

When Eckstein was removed, there were players who weren’t very happy. Some guys were actually really good at the approach he preached. As we sit here, I have yet to hear anything more than Haines is a nice guy. Well, at least if you want a positive take.

I’m sure he is. But it’s time to go. One season is typically not a fair amount of time but even if they’re wrong the Pirates are going to return Chavis, Reynolds, Hayes, Cruz, Suwinski, Marcano, Oh I could go on and on. That’s where the control levels are, and more than anything, they believe in the talent. Well, you can’t allow them to keep beating their heads against the wall for another year.

I’ll leave you with this as an example of how this philosophy plays out.

Oneil Cruz comes up here from AAA locked in and filled with exuberance. Within a week he starts looking unsure about his approach. Taking pitches he’d have probably dented a car in the lot with back in Indy, flailing at pitches with 2 outs just to try and stay alive. He’s still been fairly successful but not comfortable.

Sure some of that is the league pushing back, most of it is the team philosophy being pushed. He was a hitter, with a penchant for punishing pitches, now he’s a hitter, with a penchant for punishing pitches, after making sure he’s worked the count into a “great” at bat, even if that often looks like a 3 pitch strikeout.

This frustrates the kid. He pushes back a little and finds a few less at bats for a week. Wanting to play and be in good graces, he tries to adapt, does what he’s told to the best of his ability, even while his vision of doing the right thing at the plate doesn’t match.

This is where the team’s hitting philosophy doesn’t match their overriding philosophy, at least the stated one. Uniform approach cannot coexist with player centric. More than anything, Player centric can’t be the overriding theme from Single A through AAA then switch as soon as they get to the majors.

We’ve now seen Tucupita Marcano twice come up here as a ball of fire, only to rather quickly be extinguished. Bligh Madris, killing balls in AAA, bring him up, fill his head with information and pat him on the ass, see what happens.

All the acquired talent is great, but none of it matters if you coach them into average talents by forcing them to play with one arm tied behind their backs.

Cherington either adjusts course like he did with the pitching instruction or he dooms himself and this franchise to yet another failed rebuild. Think Christian Yelich is upset Haines is gone?

2. Piling On VanMeter

At best he’s a poster boy for futility, at worst he’s a shining example of a stubborn leadership, incapable of pivoting, even as the end at its very best could never justify the means.

Thing is, Josh VanMeter is just the symptom, not the disease. He’s a nice guy, the locker room loves him, but that doesn’t mean he’s to be afforded a spot on a roster with waiting prospects who deserve an opportunity. Both for their development, and in fact the team’s development.

The acquisition of VanMeter never made sense. They acquired a borderline major league bench player. A borderline major league player so borderline that Arizona, at team only marginally better than the Pirates DFA’d him. Brought in to play on a team that themselves at the time had Diego Castillo, Tucupita Marcano, Kevin Newman, Oneil Cruz, Hoy Park, Ji-hwan Bae, Rodolfo Castro and that’s just if you wanted to talk about expected to contribute youngsters and veterans.

Bringing in a middle infielder who matters or would be a sure fire upgrade to stem the tide, fans probably would have accepted it with open arms. Bringing in what amounted to another prospect, this one with enough MLB history on his ledger to feel reasonably sure of what he was, well, not so much.

That’s really the crux. Some people decided he was the symbol of what kept Oneil Cruz from playing, but in reality, he’s always been stopping someone, it really needn’t matter whom. Point is, there were countless better options out there if they felt they needed to acquire one not believing in their internal options. There was also ample reason to believe in their internal options, after all, many of them were brought in by Cherington himself, chosen to occupy precious 40-man spots.

Fans feel that he has played in seemingly every game, in reality, he’s played in 63 games, 180 plate appearances to the tune of a .189 batting average and a pathetic OPS of .568. In just those very few games he’s managed a -0.8 WAR.

Folks, this isn’t rocket science, and it’s not some grudge. It’s not hating on a guy, it’s not pretending he’s the sole root of all the losing. No, all it really is happens to be common sense.

If fans can’t count on something that fundamental, how can you expect them to believe in a vague and at least hard to define as anything other than a stalled rebuild?

Nobody credible has ever predicted this whole thing would work, but if it is going to, if indeed it has a chance to, it’s going to have to come from brilliant management. Let’s just say you never get to brilliant if you can’t first display common sense. Oh and of course money too, but first and foremost, brilliance.

3. Directness Could Go Miles

Before Travis Williams, Ben Cherington or anyone associated with this new management team were brought on board I asked that this team focus on one thing above all. Directness and transparency.

It hasn’t happened really.

People often get confused about what is being suggested here. I’m not asking that they tell us their every move before it happens. It isn’t about making grand statements that we can all rub in their faces later.

It’s really just about being clear and honest with fans.

Stop using platitudes to describe the next steps. Refrain from claiming your goal is to get better even while you roster players capable of doing the opposite. If what you really meant was that through time and training some of these players would become good players, AKA get better, maybe say that.

Continuing to lay out no timeline, no real milestones for fans to look to, no signs a fan could grab onto. No commitment to sign someone even as foundational as Bryan Reynolds leads many to believe nothing has changed.

Extending Hayes and then doing nothing further to secure the services of meaningful players, makes the extension seem more like placating a fan base far too accustomed to such offerings.

Bob Nutting, himself, needs to come to the fan base, talk about how he plans to show you how it’ll be different and more than anything, explain to fans that not spending now is Cherington’s choice, not his.

Even more preferably, something like that would actually be true. I certainly can’t tell you that’s the case, nobody can. Even if he did, half of you wouldn’t believe it, hell, I probably wouldn’t. He made his bed in that regard, but at the very least he’d take the focus back on himself alone and off his GM.

Its not a good situation, and it’s likely he could never truly spend enough for everyone, but not trying and expecting fans to just blindly follow along, trying to find breadcrumbs of hope isn’t working. All it’s done is created a few different faces to call liars. Even while they don’t speak enough to be honest or untruthful.

4. Derek Shelton Cloaks Issues

I often see people blame Derek Shelton for just about everything. I get it, he’s the face of management sitting in that dugout. Rarely ever pushing the right buttons. Shepherding a team toward supposed improvement yet constantly making decisions that tend to achieve the opposite.

Shelton may very well not be the right man for the job, but blaming him for his roster is letting Cherington off the hook.

It ignores that Cherington has the final say on roster decisions. It ignores that he also dictates, yes, yes with Shelton’s opinions I’m quite sure taken into account, the amount he expects to see some of these guys play.

I’m not telling you to believe in him, but perpetually blaming him for things happening above his head by way of calling for his, well, it’s just wasted breath. He certainly doesn’t seem to make the best choices with what he does have but I wonder….

Part of me wonders if I were in Shelton’s position, if I might umm, shall we say, follow my boss’ instructions to the tee. I’m to be given no actual starter to replace Quintana, ok, don’t expect me to go out of my way to make it work.

Force me to keep Josh VanMeter on my roster, ok, but he’s gonna play Mr. Cherington.

Even if I’m wrong, and I’m sure I am, I’m not going to run cover for Cherington because Shelton is lower hanging fruit. He doesn’t control when Roansy get’s called up. He’s not in charge of deciding who get’s manipulated and who doesn’t. He doesn’t make contract decisions.

It’s not his choice to have two lefties, neither of which are fit to pitch the back end of the bullpen.

Lineups, yup, that’s him, at least to a degree. Rotation, yup, all Shelton, well, except who makes it up.

Be mad at the right person for the right things.

5. All That Being Said…

The Pirates are still a very young team. That can provide excitement, it can provide complete and utter failure.

Some of these kids will become good, even if they look awful right now. The younger they are with tons of control the more likely they are to get the opportunity.

This team has work to do, and that goes for the players and the management. They need to acquire more players. They need to develop some of what they already have, More than anything, they need to start using the best of what they have.

Enough of this constant in and out of scrap. If they don’t matter they don’t matter. If they aren’t an emergency acquisition or an overt improvement that can play a role for a year or three, avoid it.

I expect rookies to play like rookies. Especially without veteran leadership. I also expect players to progress. If this coaching staff can’t help that to happen, I expect the GM to take action and find one who will.

If this GM can’t accomplish that, I expect one who can to be brought in to replace him.

It’s easy to get mad at Nutting for not spending, but I’ve always had more distain for the overt lack of accountability on this team.

Get Better either becomes get better visually, and soon or they need to take action.

40-man Roster Mismanagement or Bad Luck, You Decide

8-13-22 – By Gary Morgan – @garymo2007 on Twitter

So I’m sitting here, trying to make sense of what the team is doing with Roansy Contreras.

I can’t. That’s the simple answer, and the more I think about it, the more I realize what set us on this confusing path really started way back before the season even began.

The Pirates simply left themselves far too short for arms on the 40-man roster and it immediately impacted the choices they’d have to make, even for opening day.

Recall, an injury to Duane Underwood Jr. sustained on Opening Day cause the Bucs to callup Roansy Contreras and use him in the bullpen, mainly because at that early stage, the club only had Roansy to offer on the roster. This followed an injury to Max Kranick that nagged and nagged before ultimately being determined to require surgery. Point is, they left themselves with little alternative.

This isn’t a discussion about the wrong and right nature of service time manipulation, or the very real need to limit his workload in 2022. No, this is all about giving yourself no choices that are ideal.

To make sure they looked as dumb as possible, Roansy went right ahead and performed well in the pen, only to be demoted when Underwood’s hamstring healed up.

Next up, Bryse Wilson spent the beginning of his season not only stinking but stinking so bad the team couldn’t even consider plopping him in the pen. He’s rebounded and been at least acceptable since his recall but once again, lack of choice forced the Pirates to call on Roansy.

Not that he was the wrong choice either time he was called up mind you. He’s been the most effective starter not named Quintana or Keller, but being that this team had to pay attention to the number of innings he was asked to give, and decided they were going to manipulate his service time, making those decisions earlier than they wanted to has created this strange season for one of, if not THE, most important prospects in the system.

Now, MLB helped create this problem. When they decided that rosters would be expanded to start the season, then allowed it to go on all the way into June, the already thin pitching depth on the 40 was doomed to not be enough. Leaving it thin however, well that was on the Bucs.

It caused them to blow through pitchers who might have actually helped like Beau Sulser, Cam Vieaux, Cal Aldred. The former claimed by the Phillies, the latter two clearing and being retained. A game you play with those you consider fodder, not those you call the future.

What this is, really more than any other description, is sloppy.

When building a pitching staff, you have to have the 13 obviously you plan on rostering, but in today’s game, it’s really hard to enter with less than at least a handful of options you feel at least OK about using. Preferably arms with options. A few starting options, a few more you think can just deliver innings.

You struggle with a pitching staff all season, everyone does, even the big spenders. You struggle more when you rosters guys who don’t help you much due to your own self inflicted restrictions.

The 40-man roster is a difficult thing to navigate, I’m not here to tell you the Pirates are unique in hurting their own cause. I am here to start a conversation, one that we all need to be mindful of as we head into 2023. This time when they make decisions on their roster, the things they have to factor in remain the same. Rule 5 protection, actual belief that the player can reach MLB and stick on a roster, and providing plenty of options to enable depth. Specifically, interchangeable options that could bolster the overall staff. This accounts for injury, poor performance, inning restrictions, hey, it can even account for youngsters overperforming, in which case you might want options so you can adjust in the other direction.

When they make this roster, there will be names that we all can’t understand leaving unprotected, lord knows there were last year as well, but if it’s done in the name of providing options for the pitching staff, at least we could take comfort that this aspect is better prepared for.

In the greater scheme of things, in a season like this, it largely doesn’t rise to the level of mission critical. It sure does rob your top of the rotation stud rookie of his opportunity to have a continuous and progressive first season in MLB. Next year players like Michael Burrows, and Cody Bolton are likely going to experience some of the same things, Bolton to a much lesser extent.

As we approach December this year and people like me or Craig start making out are suggested lists of guys they need to protect, I for one am going to focus much more on this area, even if it means suggesting someone be left unprotected to pull it off.

When we write about things in December, we often don’t consider how the topic will effect the team in August. We certainly don’t think about how it will or could drastically alter the path of an important player.

Here’s hoping Cherington does in fact think of this stuff, because results certainly weren’t ideal this year.